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#opinionpolls

2 posts2 participants0 posts today
Public
Miguel Afonso Caetano

"Welcome to our Elon Musk favorability polling average. Just like with President Trump’s approval ratings, we’ll update this several times per week with every new Musk favorability poll.

Sometimes, you’ll find a quick note here analyzing the latest trends. But Musk is polled less often than Trump and doesn’t make the news as frequently. So during slow weeks, we might not have much to say about Musk’s favorability.

As of today, 53.5 percent of Americans have an unfavorable view of Elon Musk and 39.6 percent have a favorable view. And Musk’s numbers have been on a downward trend — especially since Trump took office. In early January, his net favorability rating was dead even at -0.2 percent. Could the trend reverse if Musk leaves the government? Watch this space to find out. -NS & EMD, 4/11/25

Elon Musk was once fairly popular. But his numbers have inverted as his support for President Trump has increased and particularly since he became a “special government employee” and the de facto head of DOGE. Although Musk may eventually leave the government, he’ll remain an exceptionally important and controversial public figure even if he does. Until then, he could be a liability for Trump because he’s less popular than the president is even as Trump’s numbers have also declined."

natesilver.net/p/elon-musk-pol

Silver Bulletin · How popular is Elon Musk?By Nate Silver
#USA#Trump#Musk
Public
ABC Feeds

Australia is the anti-America when it comes to polarisation
By Patricia Karvelas

If you feel this is the most 'meh' election you've witnessed, you are not alone. New research shows Australian voters are not deeply polarised or highly enthusiastic; instead, they are both uncertain and ambivalent.

abc.net.au/news/2025-04-07/aus

ABC News · Australian voters may not be deeply polarised or highly enthusiastic, but they are getting more worriedBy Patricia Karvelas
#Elections#AustralianFederalElections#OpinionPolls
Public
Miguel Afonso Caetano

"What’s driving this global Rechtsruck? It’s hard to say for sure. Maybe the entire world is casting a protest vote after several years of inflation. Last year was the largest wipeout for political incumbents in the developed world since the end of the Second World War. One level deeper, it wasn’t inflation on its own, but rather the combination of weak real economic growth and record immigration that tilled the soil for far-right upstarts, who can criticize progressive governments on both sides of the Atlantic for their failure to look out for their own citizens first.

There is another potential driver of the global right turn: the pandemic.

Pandemics might not initially seem to cash out in any particular political direction. After all, in the spring of 2020, one possible implication of the pandemic seemed to be that it would unite people behind a vision of collective sacrifice—or, at least, collective appreciation for health professionals, or for the effect of vaccines to reduce severe illness among adults. But political science suggests that pandemics are more likely to reduce rather than build trust in scientific authorities. One cross-country analysis published by the Systemic Risk Center at the London School of Economics found that people who experience epidemics between the ages of 18 and 25 have less confidence in their scientific and political leadership. This loss of trust persists for years, even decades, in part because political ideology tends to solidify in a person’s 20s.

The paper certainly matches the survey evidence of young Americans. Young people who cast their first ballot in 2024 were “more jaded than ever about the state of American leadership,” according to the Harvard Political Review. A 2024 analysis of Americans under 30 found the “lowest levels of confidence in most public institutions since the survey began.”"

theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/

The Atlantic · COVID Pushed a Generation of Young People to the RightBy Derek Thompson
#Conservatives#COVID#Sociology
Public
Climate crisis | The Guardian

Miliband tells MPs UK needs to ‘speed up, not slow down’ in net zero drive – UK politics live theguardian.com/politics/live/ #BridgetPhillipson #Privateschools #Conservatives #Defencepolicy #Climatecrisis #Opinionpolls #KemiBadenoch #Covidinquiry #Mobilephones #Youngpeople #Voterapathy #DonaldTrump #KeirStarmer #Environment #EdMiliband #Education #Politics #Schools

the Guardian · UK politics: Miliband tells MPs UK needs to ‘speed up, not slow down’ in net zero drive – as it happenedEnergy secretary insists there is ‘no contradiction between net zero and economic growth’ in hearing at Commons committee
Public *
Donald Roy

#ukelections2025 - A lean year ?

It looks as if there may be many less elections than usual in the #uk this year because many local elections may be postponed by a year as a result of the proposed reorganisation of local government. This would mean that there would be less of a check than usual on the reliability of #opinionpolls . This could fuel highly questionable claims as to actual voting intentions. A problem for established political parties - among them #Laɓour ?

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