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#elnino

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State of the Global Climate 2024

Key messages:

Key #ClimateChange indicators again reach record levels

Long-term #warming (averaged over decades) remains below 1.5°C

#SeaLevelRise and #OceanWarming #irreversible for hundreds of years

Record #GreenhouseGas concentrations combined with #ElNiño and other factors to drive 2024 record heat

Early warnings and #climate services are vital to protect communities and economies

The clear signs of human-induced climate change reached new heights in 2024, which was likely the first calendar year to be more than 1.5°C above the pre-industrial era, with a global mean near-surface temperature of 1.55 ± 0.13 °C above the 1850-1900 average.

wmo.int/publication-series/sta

World Meteorological Organization
World Meteorological Organization · State of the Global Climate 2024
Replied in thread

@Nonilex

#GeoPol #PanamaCanal #BlackRock #CKHutchinson #Panama #USpol #China

(2/n)

...be able to sustain the capacity:

"But the canal’s upgrades can’t keep up with climate change’s cascading effects. Lake #Gatún and Lake #Alajuela are replenished with rainwater, and a lingering drought compounded by #ElNiño has resulted in the second-driest year in the Panama Canal’s existence. To compensate, the daily average number of ships allowed to pass through the lock...

Remains of dismembered pregnant woman in Ecuador may have been sacrificed to thwart El Niño

In Ecuador, archaeologists have unearthed the remains of a young pregnant woman in a burial that seems to suggest she was sacrificed over one millennium ago. At Buen Suceso on the Ecuadorian coast, the burial site dates back to the Manteño period (CE 650-1532)...

More information: archaeologymag.com/2025/02/rem

Follow @archaeology

Kühleffekt von La Niña kann globale Erhitzung auch phasenweise kaum kompensieren

Trotz des Klimaphänomens kam es jüngst zu Rekordtemperaturen. Das kann auf eine Trendwende hindeuten, die sich 2024 ankündigte: 1,5 Grad über vorindustriellem Niveau werden zur neuen Normalität

Das Jahr 2025 begann mit einem neuen #Klimaextrem: Die Statistiken zum Vorjahr meldeten, dass es im globalen Durchschnitt um (mehr als) 1,5 Grad Celsius wärmer war als vor der Industrialisierung – das erste Mal in der Geschichte. Fachleute gehen davon aus, dass es in den vergangenen 100.000 Jahren nicht so warm war, ein eindeutiger Zusammenhang mit den von Industriegesellschaften ausgestoßenen #Treibhausgase'n lässt sich nicht abstreiten. Dass die Schwelle gerade jetzt überschritten wurde, bringen Klimaforschende auch mit dem aufheizenden Phänomen #ElNiño in Zusammenhang, das bis April 2024 anhielt. Doch sie befürchten, dass die kühlende Gegenspielerin #LaNiña die #GlobaleErhitzung immer weniger in Schach halten und abschwächen kann.

derstandard.at/story/300000025

DER STANDARD · Kühleffekt von La Niña kann globale Erhitzung auch phasenweise kaum kompensierenTrotz des Klimaphänomens kam es jüngst zu Rekordtemperaturen. Das kann auf eine Trendwende hindeuten, die sich 2024 ankündigte: 1,5 Grad über vorindustriellem Niveau werden zur neuen Normalität

Record January warmth puzzles #climate scientists

by Mark Poynting, February 5, 2025

"Last month was the world's warmest January on record raising further questions about the pace of climate change, scientists say.

"January 2025 had been expected to be slightly cooler than January 2024 because of a shift away from a natural weather pattern in the Pacific known as #ElNiño.

"But instead, last month broke the January 2024 record by nearly 0.1C, according to the European @CopernicusEU climate service.

"The world's warming is due to emissions of planet-heating gases from human activities - mainly the burning of #FossilFuels - but scientists say they cannot fully explain why last month was particularly hot.

"It continues a series of surprisingly large temperature records since mid-2023, with temperatures around 0.2C above what had been expected.
[...]

"January 2025 ended up 1.75C warmer than January temperatures of the late 19th Century, before humans started significantly warming the climate.

"Early last year, global temperatures were being boosted by the natural El Niño weather pattern, where unusually warm surface waters spread across the eastern tropical Pacific. This releases extra heat into the atmosphere, raising global temperatures.

"This year, #LaNiña conditions are developing instead, according to US science group Noaa, which should have the opposite effect.

"While La Niña is currently weak - and sometimes takes a couple of months to have its full effect on temperatures – it was expected to lead to a cooler January.

"'If you'd asked me a few months ago what January 2025 would look like relative to January 2024, my best shot would have been it would be cooler,' Adam Scaife, head of monthly to decadal predictions at the UK Met Office, said.

"'We now know it isn't, and we don't really know why that is.'"

bbc.com/news/articles/cwyjk92w
#ClimateCrisis #WorldWx #Climate #GlobalWarming

www.bbc.comClimate puzzle persists with unexpectedly warm JanuaryJanuary was expected to be cooler than the same month last year, but was 0.1C warmer, which experts are struggling to explain.

Unexpectedly warm January puzzles climate scientists

Last month was the world's warmest January on record and raised further questions about the pace of climate change, scientists say.

January 2025 had been expected to be slightly cooler than January 2024 because of a shift away from a natural weather pattern in the Pacific known as El Niño.

But instead, last month broke the January 2024 record by nearly 0.1C, according to the European Copernicus climate service.

bbc.com/news/articles/cwyjk92w

www.bbc.comClimate puzzle persists with unexpectedly warm JanuaryJanuary was expected to be cooler than the same month last year, but was 0.1C warmer, which experts are struggling to explain.

January sets an unexpected temperature record

Both 2023 and 2024 were exceptionally warm years, at just below and above 1.5C relative to preindustrial in the #WMO composite of surface temperature records, respectively. While we are still working to assess the full set of drivers of this warmth, it is clear that a sizable portion of 2024’s elevated temperatures were driven by a moderately strong El Niño event that peaked in November 2023.
January 2025 beat the prior record set in January 2024 by a sizable margin. And unlike the prior record Januaries (2007, 2016, 2020, and 2024) there is currently no #ElNiño event boosting global temperatures; rather, the world is in modest #LaNiña conditions that should, all things being equal, result in lower global temperatures.

So what does this mean? Thankfully #weather models expect global temperatures are set to drop next week as the Northern Hemisphere sharply cools, making it less likely that February will also set a new record. But an unexpected record to start things off may presage higher temperatures this year than many of us thought.

theclimatebrink.com/p/january-

#ClimateScience
#GlobalHeating
#ClimateCatastrophe

Africa: Improving Resilience to Weather Shocks and Climate Resilience to Boost Economic Growth in Zimbabwe: [World Bank] Harare -- Zimbabwe's economic outlook is positive, with recovery from the 2019/20 COVID-19 recession and the 2024 El Niño-related drought, according to the fifth Zimbabwe Economic Update (ZEU) launched today. The report highlights the opportunity to strengthen resilience to climate… newsfeed.facilit8.network/THl6 #ClimateResilience #EconomicGrowth #Zimbabwe #WeatherShocks #ElNino

Ocean-surface warming has more than quadrupled since the late-1980s, study shows

The rate of #ocean #warming has more than quadrupled over the past four decades, a new study has shown. Ocean temperatures were rising at about 0.06°C per decade in the late 1980s, but are now increasing at 0.27°C per decade.
Published 28 January 2025 in Environmental Research Letters, the study helps explain why 2023 and early 2024 saw unprecedented ocean temperatures.
This #accelerating ocean warming is driven by the Earth's growing energy imbalance—whereby more #energy from the sun is being absorbed in the Earth's system than is escaping back to space. This imbalance has roughly doubled since 2010, in part due to increasing #GreenhouseGas concentrations, and because the #Earth is now reflecting less sunlight to space than before.
Global ocean temperatures hit record highs for 450 days straight in 2023 and early 2024. Some of this warmth came from #ElNiño, a natural warming event in the Pacific.

phys.org/news/2025-01-ocean-su

Article: dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/a

#ClimateCrisis
#ClimateScience
#GlobalWarming
#GlobalWarning

The 2024 annual sea surface temperature over the extra-polar oceans reached a record-breaking. How much did El Niño contribute to this record?

To understand the magnitude of El Niño's impact, let’s go back to 1982—a year marked by one of the strongest and most devastating El Niño events in recorded history.

theclimatehistorian.substack.c

theclimatehistorian.substack.comHow the 1982 El Niño Changed Our WorldThe 2024 annual sea surface temperature over the extra-polar oceans reached a record-breaking. How much did El Niño contribute to this record?