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Emeritus Prof Christopher May

Trouble at the Office of National Statistics continues with staff churn, failing methods & funding problems all undermining reliability of the data on which Govt. depends for formulating policy.

The potential difference between ONS & independent assessment (here by the Resolution Foundation) of employment suggest labour market policy (especially regarding the 'economically inactive') may be misconceived (which many would argue anyway).

In a sense Labour *is* flying blind

@ChrisMayLA6 rather than blind, it is recklessly sailing at high speed in a dense smokescreen of its own generation in the vague direction of a narrow passage through semisubmerged reefs with no lookout posted to listen for breakers. Admiral Shovell learnt the dangers the hard way though he had the excuse of a severe storm.

@epistatacadam

nice historical allusion, that I had to Google

@ChrisMayLA6 the key point was it was a known problem but the Admiral didn't change his plan as he was convinced his navigation was spot on despite everyone knowing after days of dead reckoning you could be miles out, as he was.

@ChrisMayLA6 as we’ve suffered decades of “policy-based evidence” (can’t remember who said this) as opposed to the evidence-based policy governments should deploy, how would anyone know?

@Simon318ppm

As an aside, I'm external examining a PhD on Evidence Based Policy which is situating data around COVID into a framework derived from Susan Strange's idea of structural power in knowledge.... so far (only just started reading it), looks interesting on exactly this relationship between evidence based policy & policy based evidence...